by
Richard Garner
In 2024 extreme weather and extreme weather related events induced by climate change led to the deaths of thousands of people around the world and millions were displaced from their homes. Here in the United States extreme heat waves made worse by climate change led to the deaths of 2,300 people at a minimum in 2023. And scientists think that deaths made more likely by extreme heat are very much under-reported.
Extreme weather and extreme weather related events include heat waves, extended downpours of heavy rain, flooding, droughts, wildfires, cold spells and more frequent, more damaging hurricanes and other storms. (See AP analysis finds 2023 set record for US heat deaths killing in areas that used to handle the heat AP News May 31, 2024 by Seth Borenstein, M.K. Wildeman and Anita Snow at https://apnews.com/article/record-heat-deadly-climate-change-south-11de21a526e1cbe7e306c47c2f12438d and US deaths from heat are dangerously undercounted by Ariel Wittenburg, Chelsea Harvey and E & E News at https://www.Scientificamerican.com/u-s-deaths-from-heat-are-dangerously-undercounted/)
In addition to extreme weather made worse by climate change the extra heat in the atmosphere because of the buildup of greenhouse gases is causing ice in glaciers and in the Arctic and Antarctic regions to melt. This process is having many bad effects that are threatening humanity and the biosphere. The melting of the ice in glaciers and in ice shelves in the polar regions is causing a rise in the level of the world’s oceans. Sea level rise could lead to coastal flooding and even inundate many of the major cities of the world.
The melting of glaciers in mountainous regions of the world could lower future fresh water supplies in large areas of the world. (See What countries and cities will disappear due to sea level rise? By Joe Phelan March 27, 2022 at https://www.livescience.com/what-places-disappear-due-to-rising-sea-levels. Also see https://climatechange.academy/introduction-to-climate-change/melting-glaciers-ice-caps-sea-levels/ This second article at this website cites estimates of maximum global sustainable human population where the lowest figure cited is 4 billion. Other sources have made much lower estimates such as 2 billion or even lower. I will address this issue more fully in other blog posts. However, this particular article is especially good in describing some of the potential effects of melting glaciers in other regions besides the polar regions on fresh water supplies, including especially the glaciers in the Himalayan mountains. See the passage that begins with the words “Himalayan Water Tower.”)
The whiteness of the snow and ice in the polar regions reflects back into space more of the heat that falls on the earth than in other parts of the world where this heat is absorbed. With the melting of the glaciers and the ice in these regions a lot less of this heat is being reflected back into space. This is potentially a kind of feedback loop where climate change feeds on itself. Permafrost, permanently frozen ground in these regions is also melting, leading to the release of methane, an even more deadly greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide. This is also a potential feedback loop that could make climate change much worse.
The loss of sea ice and the melting of permafrost is threatening the survival of animals that depend on it including polar bears, walruses, arctic foxes, snowy owls and reindeer. (See Six ways loss of Arctic ice impacts everyone World Wildlife Fund at: https://www.worldwildlife.org/resources/explainers/six-ways-loss-of-arctic-ice-impacts-everyone/ .)
In addition to the melting of the glaciers, the heat being trapped in the atmosphere by the buildup
of greenhouse gases caused by the pervasive use of fossil fuels is partly going into the oceans. The
buildup of heat in the atmosphere and in the oceans is affecting ocean currents and threatening to
destabilize them. (See Key Atlantic current could collapse soon ‘impacting the entire world for centuries to come’ leading climate scientists warn at https://www.livescience.com/planet-earth/rivers-oceans/key-atlantic-current-could-collapse-soon-impacting-the-entire-world-for-centuries-to-come-leading-climate-scientiss-warn/)
Climate change is also profoundly affecting the rest of life on Earth. It is presenting challenges to survival for other species of life, not just humanity.(See Climate Change Impacts Across the Refuge System on the US Fish and Wildlife Service website https://www.fws.gov/story/climate-change-impacts See also 5 Ways Climate Change Affects Animals and How We can Stop it by Jacquiline Covey Defenders of Wildlife at: https://defenders.org/blog/2023/08/5-ways-climate-change-affects-animals-and-how-we-can-stop-it/ and The Impact of Climate Change on Wildlife and Ecosytems by Yuhaan Zeng Journal of Biodiversity and Endangered Species at: https://www.hilarispublisher.com/open-access/the-impact-of-climate-change-on-wildlife-and-ecosytems-99429.html As you might gather, I do not agree that the suggestions for how to stop these affects by Defenders of Wildlife are adequate.)
In 2016 Donald Trump was elected President. In his campaign Trump made it clear that he thought
climate change is a hoax, Once in office, he acted on his beliefs. He took the United States out of the
Paris agreement of 2015 and he refused to lead the United States in fighting the buildup of greenhouse
gases in the atmosphere. In other ways he demonstrated either indifference or hostility to any view
that environmental problems in general are real.
In 2015, in his speech announcing that he was running for President, Trump attacked the nation and
the people of Mexico. He said that Mexico was sending its worst people to the United States as
immigrants. He attacked the character of these immigrants. He said they were criminals. This was
an absolutely vicious lie. The truth was that they were among the best people of Mexico, some of
the most ambitious and hard working.
Donald Trump’s entire approach to the issue and phenomenon of immigration into the United States is absolutely poisonous in its impact on the potential for solving what might be considered to be the problems caused by a high level of immigration into the United States.
There has never been a President quite like Donald Trump. He doesn’t care about facts. He refuses to accept that he has ever done anything wrong. When political events don’t go the way he wants them to,
he makes up his own facts.
He doesn’t understand science. He doesn’t understand democracy. Incredibly, the Supreme Court, in its immunity decision, said that he did not have to be called to account for his crimes while President.
And yet, the rise to the Presidency of this kind of man was no blind accident. The ground was prepared
by failures of leadership by both major political parties, the Republican Party and the Democratic Party, over the last fifty to sixty years.
These failures of leadership have been constituted by the failure to openly recognize and acknowledge and completely engage with the problems of human population growth and economic growth. These two phenomena are the fundamental underlying causes of the world environmental crisis threatening, and not just threatening, but actually destroying the future of American democracy, the American people, all of humanity, and much of the rest of life on Earth.
This world environmental crisis is not something peripheral to American life. It threatens people of
every race and country. It threatens immigrants and it threatens citizens across the face of the planet.
This failure of leadership by the presumed leaders of the Republican and Democratic Parties, and all of the minor parties in the United States as well, to openly acknowledge and address the problems of population growth and economic growth, has extended across almost every sector of American life, in
business, in journalism, and in the academic world.
There were some exceptions to this. Within the environmental movement there were many non-profit public interest groups that focused on population growth and its relationship to the environment as one of the two fundamental underlying causes of our environmental problems in the final decades of the twentieth century. Many of these organizations are still with us, but the intellectual and political approach to the problem of some of the most important ones has changed. Two of the most important ones were the Sierra Club and one called Zero Population Growth.
The Sierra Club was very articulate in advocating for changes in US policies to address US population growth, including immigration into the US.
Zero Population Growth attempted to address both US and global population growth.
There have also been many scientists who have spoken up about the threats posed to our environment by human population growth, including some organizations of scientists. (See National Academy of Sciences National Academy of Engineering and Institute of Medicine 1993 Population Summit of the World’s Scientific Academies Washington, DC National Academy Press https://doi.org/10.17226/9148 .)
Within the field of economics some economists and other scholars have been developing an alternative school of economics that focuses on the need for an end to economic growth. This alternative school is now called Ecological Economics.(See the International Society for Ecological Economics at https://www.isecoeco.org/ You could join even if you have no background in the study of economics. They have different levels of membership and one of them is very inexpensive.)
Outside of the environmental movement and science, the leaders in different sectors of American life have learned their separate professions within the framework of assumptions made about the rationality and moral rightness of the organization of society as it has been handed down to them from the past. So it has, perhaps, only been human nature that many, if not most would be close-minded in confronting problems requiring a fundamental change in outlook to really understand.
In subsequent posts I will analyze some of the misleading and incomplete misrepresentations of the facts regarding population growth and economic growth that have come forth from these leaders, including those in the journalistic world.
Donald Trump’s approach to the issues he is concerned with, including immigration is so emotionally supercharged and he is so disrespectful of the feelings and views of those who do not agree with him, or support what he wants to do, and so disrespectful of facts and so indifferent to science and the need to protect our environment that it is easy to forget or overlook that the American people faced many extremely serious problems before Donald Trump rose up onto the stage of American electoral politics
in 2015 as a candidate for President.
We already faced the problem of climate change because of the use of fossil fuels. In addition we already faced the Sixth Mass Extinction of other species of life because of the massive further intrusion by humanity into the rest of the biosphere over the last fifty to one hundred years. This massive intrusion into the rest of the biosphere and the degradation and even destruction of habitat for wildlife
has come about because of a tremendous amount of human population growth and a tremendous expansion of the US and world economies. Sometime between 1920 to 1930 world population had grown to about 2 billion. Then it went to about 2.5 to 2.6 billion by 1950, to 3 billion by 1960, to 4 billion by 1975, to 5 billion by 1987, to 6 billion by 1999, to 7 billion by 2011, and to 8 billion by 2022 and it is still growing.
The US economy grew from about $3.5 trillion worth of Gross Domestic Product in 1960 to more than $23 trillion by 2024. In the same period the world economy grew from about $11 trillion worth of Gross Domestic Product in 1960 to more than $83 trillion in 2020. This degradation and destruction of habitat for wildlife (land undeveloped for human perceived needs and wants) has been taking place because of all the different activities engaged in by we humans. The problem is not just using fossil fuels or climate change. Even if we all got around by bus or never ate meat, as long as our populations and economies continue to grow, we will have an extreme threat to all of humanity and much of the rest of life on Earth.(See https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/NGDPRSAXDCUSQ, See also Global Real GDP [Inflation Adjusted “Constant” at https://www.worldometers.info/gdp/ and https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Estimates_of_historical_world_population)
In addition we already faced the consequences for our democracy of the re-globalization of our economy that intensified in the 1970s with a focus on American manufacturing corporations that
moved their production from states with strong laws protecting labor unions to other states that did
not, and also to other countries in the less economically developed parts of the world. This movement
of these corporations was referred to by some economists as a “deindustrialization” of America. (See The Deindustrialization of America by Barry Bluestone and Bennet Harrison)
This deindustrialization took place before the passage of NAFTA in 1994 and later GATT.
In 1992 Bill Clinton was elected President and in 1994 NAFTA (the North American Free Trade Agreement) was passed by Congress. Later a GATT (General Agreement on Tariffs ans Trade) was also passed.
These agreements further intensified a process of globalization of the US and the world economies that had picked up speed in the 1970s. This globalization undermined American democracy by undermining American labor unions and the ability of the United States to protect its workers, citizens and the environment within the United States from the consequences of economic activity.
American labor unions and the cause of protecting the environment in the United States and in the world had been under attack during the Presidency of Ronald Reagan, elected in 1980, and during the single term of his successor, George H. W. Bush.
In the late 1960s and early 1970s the modern environmental movement, a broad popular cultural and political movement focusing on protecting the entire living environment within which humanity lives, and is dependent on for its own survival, emerged into public consciousness and America’s intellectual and political life. This movement had some early successes.
In 1970 Senator Gaylord Nelson of Wisconsin and Dennis Hayes, a graduate student assistant at Harvard University organized the first Earth Day, which took place on April 22nd. This was a kind of ad hoc fair celebrated at different places across the country where different public interest environmental organizations have presented information to the public on different environmental problems and invited people to participate in helping to solve them. This event has been held annually on approximately April 22nd of every year. (See https://www.senate.gov/art-and-history/history/minute/Gaylord_Nelson_promotes_the_first_Earth_Day.htm Also The 1970 Clean Air Act Amendments were passed and signed into law by President Nixon. See https://www.britannica.com/topic/Clean-Air-Act-United-States-1970 and a Clean Water Act was passed and signed into law in 1972. See https://www.britannica.com/topic-Clean-Water-Act. An Endangered Species Act was enacted into law in 1973. See https://www.fws.gov/law/endangered-species-act And in 1970 the United States Environment Protection Agency was established. See https://www.epa.gov/history/origins-epa)
Tragically, the full measure of the impact of human activities upon our environment was not well understood at the time of the emergence of the modern environmental movement and it is still not well understood now, more than fifty years later. Environmental issues have been seen as peripheral to our primary concerns as a society and as individuals, as luxury issues not as important as economic and political and other issues.
There are many reasons why environmental issues have lacked the centrality within the democratic discourse of our society that they really require to be effectively solved. One of the most important is that the two most fundamental underlying causes of our environmental problems, human population growth and economic growth, have been very controversial and poorly understood, even among many of the most ardent advocates for the environment.
Another important reason is rooted in our American history as a people. First as British colonists and later as citizens of the United States we have been a people of the frontier. Mostly this consciousness has been focused on the physical frontier. At the beginning of our history we saw the North American continent as a mostly empty place capable of sustaining virtually endless expansion into it. Thomas Jefferson expressed this well in his first inaugural address in 1801 when he said that “there would be room down to the thousandth generation….” We have also seen our country as at the edge of a political and psychological and cultural frontier as well. However for the purpose of understanding the origins of the world environmental crisis this view of the frontier as an inexhaustible physical thing has been most important. We have spent our time mostly developing the conditions of material abundance within our so-called “free economy’ and relations of equality within our society. It is difficult for us to understand that both population growth and economic growth both have to end and even be partially reversed if the biosphere of life on Earth is not to suffer irreparable damage with horrifying consequences for the American people and all of humanity. (See The Great Frontier by Walter Prescott Webb)
In 1968 a book titled The Population Bomb, written by two biologists, Anne and Paul Ehrlich, although credited only to Paul because of the publishing conventions of the time, was published. The book was about the basic logical structure of the problem for human beings of continuing population growth that never ends. The authors point out how absurd it is to believe that it can continue indefinitely. The book also contains a prediction that massive famines would occur in the economically less developed parts of the world in what was for them, the near future, the 1970s and 1980s. Apparently, truly massive famines did not occur, although there were reasons for thinking that they might.
The main reason why they did not was that something called the Green Revolution occurred. New, more productive varieties of wheat and rice helped to boost food production just in time to avert the predicted famines. Unfortunately, far too much was concluded on the basis of the prospect of famines being averted at that point in history. That famines had at least temporarily been avoided was potentially a tremendous gift to humanity. It was the gift of more time to recognize and do something about the logically inescapable problem of indefinitely continuing human population growth. Tragically, we have squandered that time. The scientist who received the Nobel peace prize in 1970 for his work that helped bring about the Green Revolution, Norman Borlaug, understood that population growth was still a problem and he said so in his Nobel Prize acceptance speech. (See Borlaug, Norman
Nobel Prize Acceptance Speech, Oslo, December 10, 1970 at
https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/peace/1970/borlaug/acceptance-speech.
Far too many people, including many opinion leaders in the United States, failed to understand what had happened. They concluded incorrectly, that the failure of massive famines to occur was proof that the problem of human population growth was not real. Many people also thought, again incorrectly, that the Green Revolution was proof that technology would always provide a solution for whatever problems continuing human population growth created.
A great many people, myself among them, who had read The Population Bomb, and understood what the Ehrlichs were saying, knew that the problems caused by continuing human population growth extended beyond the need to produce adequate food for a growing number of people. We understood that the problem of human population growth was always about the total impact of everything that we Americans and we humans do on the rest if life, on the biosphere, because of that growth. And this growth and this impact are occurring not just in the economically less developed parts of the world. They are also happening here in the United States, despite our low fertility rate. Our high level of immigration into the United States, over the past fifty years has meant that our population has continued to grow. We are projected by the US Census Bureau to continue growing into the second half of this century, almost entirely because of an assumed continuing high level of immigration.
In 1970 US population was about 203 million. Today in 2025 it is about 342 million .
In the same time period global human population size has grown from about 3.7 billion in 1970 to about 8.1 billion now in 2025 and is still growing.
(See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Estimates_of_historical_world_population. Also see
Historical population change data (1910-2020) US Census Bureau at: https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time-series/dec/popchange-data-text.html and US population clock at: https://www.census.gov/popclock/ .)
The United States Census Bureau has been making projections of population growth for the United States for at least several decades into the future in recent years. These projections into the future show significant differences in the amount of total population growth in the near future given different assumptions about our continuing high level of immigration into the United States. One of these projections released in 2017 showed a population of almost 447, 000, 000 for the year 2060 under a high immigration scenario. Another released in 2023 showed a total population of over 396,000,000 for the same year. Our current population according to the US Census Bureau is over 342,749,000.
What both of these sets of projections show is that population growth in the United States is likely to continue at a very high level in coming decades if we continue to have a very high level of immigration. The second projection, the one for 2023, extends to the year 2100. However, other information I have presented in this blog post suggests that projections out that far are very unreliable.
What these projections fail to mention is the increasing costs for everything that this growth will inevitably bring and the increased pressure on that part of the biosphere within the borders of the United States and in the world as a whole that it will inevitably mean. (See Table 1 under High Immigraion Scenario at:
ttps://www.census.gov/data/tables/2023/demo/popproj/2023-alternative-summary-tables.html. Also see Projection of the Population and Annual Population Change by Alternative Immigration Scenario for the Unites States 2017-2100 under Summary Tables at:
http://www.census.gov/data/tables/2017/demo/popproj/2017-Alternative-Summary-Tables.html. Also see US population Clock at:
https://www.census.gov/popclock.)
The consequences of population growth, both US population growth and global population growth, are falling on the same entity: the entire biosphere of life on Earth.
In addition to the consequences of population growth for the biosphere, there is also economic growth as the other fundamental underlying cause of our environmental problems. Economic growth is defined as the increase in the total amount of goods and services produced in an economy in a given period of. time, such as a year or three months. This economic growth, no matter how efficient the processes are that produced it, or how efficient those processes become, inevitably involves an increase in the total quantity of matter and energy taken from nature and used to satisfy the perceived needs and wants of human beings. This constant growth cannot be sustained. It is incompatible with the continued survival of humanity and much of the rest of life on earth.
I titled this essay Systemic Failure, Planetary Catastrophe and a Path Out of the Darkness of Our Time. By Systemic Failure I meant in part the rise of the kind of man that Donald Trump is to the achievement of the Presidency of the United States. In a broader sense I also meant the failure of the American people and American civilization to recognize, come to understand and address effectively the two fundamental underlying causes of the world environmental crisis, human population growth and economic growth over the course of the last fifty-five to sixty years. The Planetary Catastrophe I was making reference to also has this dual nature. It includes all of the tragic, horrifying consequences that have unfolded from the fact of Donald Trump’s election twice to the Presidency of the United States. It also includes all of the tragic consequences that have flowed from our failure as a people to recognize and come to grips with these two fundamental underlying causes of our environmental problems, population growth and economic growth.
I said that Donald Trump called climate change a hoax before he was elected to his first term in 2016. Then he acted on his belief once elected as I said.
The nature of the problem of climate change that we need to focus on is this. If we lose valuable time in trying to limit the buildup of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere because our most important political leader, our President, is pulling in the opposite direction, that time, while he is President, is essentially time that we cannot get back. In order to compensate in a subsequent time period we would have to make even bigger reductions in the greenhouse gases going into the atmosphere, in a shorter time.
During Biden’s term in office, we failed to do this. The Inflation Reduction Act, in relation to the problem of climate change, mostly promotes the use of renewable, so called Clean Energy. The theory put forward in support of this act is that this will mean greenhouse gas emissions avoided. But will this be enough?
There have been many scientists, hundreds in fact, who have been saying that we are not doing enough. Although Biden, through executive action, attempted to restrict some emissions, he also promoted the continued use of fossil fuels.
And now Donald Trump has been re-elected. He wants to reverse the gains we have made in expanding renewable energy and fighting climate change. He wants to end the expansion of wind power and even cancel the operating permits of the existing wind plants. He even wants to reverse the use of low flow shower heads despite the water shortage here in the western United States.
In his first term, with his refusal to fight the buildup of greenhouse gases going into the atmosphere, he probably helped to set the world on course to an unendurable, unlivable degree of climate change. In his term, although President Joe Biden did lead on climate change and did accomplish real changes in policy that will lead to significantly less greenhouse gas emissions being released into the atmosphere there are important reasons for thinking that what Biden was able to accomplish was not good enough to compensate for what Trump failed to do in his first term and not good enough to get us off the path to an unendurable, unlivable degree of climate change here in the United States and worldwide.
The original “Build Back Better” proposal included a Clean Electricity Performance Program that would not only have provided incentives for utilities to switch from using fossil fuel energy to more renewable or so-called clean energy, it would also have imposed fines or fees to the extent that they did not. Something like this was critically necessary to help the United States come to grips effectively with the problem of climate change although it too would still not have been enough, given that both major political parties are wedded to a commitment to ongoing population and economic growth.
The Inflation Reduction Act abandoned this policy change of a carrot and stick for the utilities and substituted incentives for the expansion of renewable energy including for electric vehicles, although it did include a modest fee on methane emissions from oil and gas drilling. This fee on methane emissions has now been repealed by the Congress. (See A new program will incentivize utility companies to tap clean sources and that’s not the only good news by Angely Mercado Popular Science 09282021 at
https://www.popsci.com/environment/clean-electricity-performance-program,
also The Cost of Cutting Bidens key climate program by John Engel Renewable Energy World October 19, 2021 https://www.renewableenergyworld.com/energy-business/policy-and-regulation/the-cost-of-cutting-Bidens-key-climate-program,. What the collapse of Build Back Better would mean for climate change
by Josh Lederman NBC news December 19, 2021
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/what-collapse-build-back-better-would-mean-climate-change-n1286288 . And Congress votes to kill Biden-era methane fee on oil and gas producers AP News by Michael Phillis and Matthew Daily February 27, 2025 at https://apnews.com/article/methane-fee-repeal-epa-oil-gas-drilling-4844558bece1e683da9246ee226c57b5
and
World on pace for significantly more warming without immediate climate action, report warns
AP News by Seth Borenstein October 24, 2024 at https://apnews.com/article/climate-change-chaos-warming-15-pollution-carbon-832773cebb14b4ea8c8930580537e567.
Kamala Harris had relatively little to say about climate change in her campaign for President. She repeated this error in what she had to say about Trump’s performance as President at the end of his
first 100 days in office.
Both major political parties are continuing to fail the American people with every passing hour of every passing day. We need to push both of them into the pages of history with all deliberate speed.
I said that even before Trump was elected to his first term in 2016, we already faced the Sixth Mass Extinction of other species of life. This term refers to the fact that there have been previous periods of mass extinction of species in the history of biological evolution on Earth not related to humans.
This most recent mass extinction is directly related to human activities, specifically those stemming from ongoing population growth and economic growth.
There is something called biodiversity. This refers to the diversity in the number and variety of other species of life. This is what the Sixth Mass Extinction is partly destroying.
I have referred to the reports by the World Wildlife Fund on the amount of surviving biodiversity in the world in other blog posts and in the videos I have put up on YouTube. In their most recent Living Planet Report for 2024 they say that between 1970 and 2020 the world lost 73% of populations of other species.
Projecting backwards and following the rate of decline this means that we could have less than 25% of the amount of biodiversity that existed in 1970 still in existence now, in 2025.
Not only have we lost almost three quarters of the populations of other species that we still had in 1970, many other scientific studies have shown the impact of human activities because of population growth and economic growth on the rest of the biosphere. In one study it was shown that only 3% of the land surface of the earth remains undisturbed by the effects of human activities. (See Where might we find ecologically intact communities? By A.J. Plumptre et al in Frontiers in Forests and Global Change, April 15, 2021 at https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/forests-and-global-change/articles/10.3389/ffgc.2021.626635/f )
We are dependent on the continued existence of biodiversity. We could not live without it.
Even if Harris had won the race for the Presidency in 2024, the United States and the world would have been on course for the destruction of the world’s remaining biodiversity.
Despite Trump’s views on and approach to immigration, both major parties fail to see population growth as a problem. They also see economic growth as meritorious in nature, and something they should be striving to bring about. In fact, the more the better.
Continuing population growth and economic growth will make certain what I said above, the destruction of Earth’s remaining biodiversity. And with this destruction, the end of humanity will be certain as well.
World population is now about 8.1 billion people. The United Nations Population Division projects another 1.6 billion people or a population of about 9.7 billion people by 2050.
The leaders of both major political parties here in the United States and all the minor parties as well, and the leaders of all the countries of the world have no plan for how this additional number of people will be accommodated and still preserve Earth’s remaining biodiversity.
(There is something called the Convention on Biodiversity. This is a treaty among most of the governments of most of the nations of the world that was established in 1992. Supposedly this Convention is doing what will protect Earth’s remaining biodiversity. Only they are really only pretending to do this. The Convention on Biodiversity is a mountain of verbiage, double-talk and empty promises. They published a report in 2020 in which they admitted that they had failed to reach their most important targets for preserving biodiversity.
The Convention on Biodiversity fails to recognize human population growth and economic growth as the two most fundamental causes of the extensive loss of biodiversity which has already occurred and the horrifying loss of Earth’s remaining biodiversity which is now in process and is logically inescapable if we do not change our thinking and the fundamental nature of our civilization. People who are concerned about the future of humanity and the biosphere will have to turn elsewhere for the means to preserve the only known life in the universe. See Convention on Biodiversity https://www.cbd.int and The world set a 2020 deadline to save nature but not a single target was met, UN report says CNN by Jessie Yeung at: https://edition.cnn.com/2020/09/16/world/un-biodiversity-report-int-hnk-scli-scn/index.html.)
The idea that there cannot be any legitimate concern about the high level of immigration into the United States that does not originate in racism is false. As I have tried to make clear in other posts on this blog and in the videos I have put up on YouTube, the expressions of racist opinions about immigrants by some people, including some of our political leaders and the dispassionate analysis of the effects of a high level of immigration into the United States on the US and world economies and on the part of the biosphere within the US and on the global biosphere are two logically separate processes.
It isn’t even valid logical reasoning to assume that the racist opinions about immigrants expressed by some people are their reason for being against any particular immigration policy or immigration in general. In fact, the opponents of immigration may have been hurt economically by this high level of immigration.
We are all hurt indirectly by this ongoing high level of immigration, including the immigrants, legal and undocumented, who are already here. This high level of immigration has negative consequences for our economy that outweigh any short term benefits from some perspectives, also on that part of the biosphere within our own country, and through our economy on the whole biosphere.
The Systemic Failure of American Civilization refers not just to the re-election of Donald Trump as President, but to the broader intellectual, moral and political failures of both major political parties and the entire complex of American institutions and traditions to recognize the problems of population growth and economic growth as the threats to all of humanity and most of the rest of life that they in fact are over the last fifty years.
The retreat of the US environmental movement from fighting for the open recognition of the problem of US population growth as a threat to any conceivable desirable future for the American people and to all of humanity and much of the rest of life on Earth has effectively neutralized this movement and the world environmental movement as political forces for needed change. This retreat, which has happened over the past twenty-five to thirty years, has given its implicit endorsement to an established political and economic order which is intellectually and morally indefensible. Today’s environmental organizations of whatever size, are merely tinkering around the edges of our environmental problems while they pretend that the big picture of reality as a whole across the face of the planet does not exist.
All factions of both major political parties are pushing different versions of collective insanity for the United States. There are many important differences. The members of the Democratic Party who are elected office holders and candidates for office are much more likely to fight for important government programs such as Social Security and Medicare and Medicaid and many others and they are more likely to fight for some protections for the environment However, these protections will always be inadequate, because they don’t recognize population growth and economic growth as problems.
The members of the Republican Party in government, or as candidates for elected office, on the other hand, are extremely rigid in applying their economic ideology to the operations of our government.
Whatever level of government spending is in place in any give time period they think it is too much, even though the evidence of the past one hundred years of US and world history overwhelmingly shows that their concerns are unwarranted. In fact, quite the opposite is the case. We have never spent as much government money for the common good as could have been justified for the sake of freedom and the pursuit of happiness being meaningful for everyone and we still are not doing so. They also always think that the rich and the well-to-do are paying too much in taxes no matter what the facts may be.
However, all factions of both major parties support a continuing high level of population growth based on a high level of immigration into the United States. And they both support continuing economic growth. This isn’t obvious because of Donald Trump’s claims to be fixing our immigration problem, but he is really not. He is exploiting our polarized and mostly ignorant and uninformed debate about it.
On the Democratic side there is no understanding that there will be no lasting progressive or liberal reforms without a comprehensive engagement with the problems of population growth and economic growth.
The criticisms of Trump, by the so-called leaders of both major political parties have been incredibly weak precisely because they have their own misinformation and have been operating on the basis of delusions about the contemporary world for the past half century and more.
Despite the overwhelming obstacles against it, we desperately need a new political party that will recognize these problems and make effectively addressing them the primary part of its platform in the near term and for the long term. This new political party must lead the way in showing Americans how to think dispassionately about immigration and population growth and how to be compassionate at the same time. We need to be dispassionate about the facts and concerned for every human life and every species.
We need to develop an agenda for this new political party and we need to get moving. Deadlines for getting a new political party on the ballot in the various states will come in early 2026.
The following are some preliminary suggestions for elements of an agenda for the new political party that we very much need here in the United States to help preserve the biosphere:
1) Education and advocacy about the two fundamental underlying causes of all of our environmental problems, population growth, including a large volume of immigration into the United States, and economic growth.
2) Explain that the two fundamental causes have negative consequences for our economy, the labor market, the functioning of democracy, and that part of the biosphere within the borders of the United States, as well as the whole biosphere.
3) Explain that because of a high rate of energy and resource use, a high rate of population growth in the US, mostly from immigration, is in some ways even worse for the biosphere than the high rates of natural increase in some economically less developed nations, although much of the Earth’s remaining biodiversity is precisely in these nations where rates of natural increase are the highest.
4) Explain that although the United States does indeed have a quite real problem with racism, it is still possible that there can be legitimate concern about the volume of immigration into the US that has nothing to do with racism.
5) Explain that it is possible to be dispassionate about the facts related to immigration, population and economic growth and still compassionate and concerned about every human life, every species, every ecosystem of the Earth.
6) Explain that our whole discourse and debate about immigration from the perspective of philosophies across the spectrum of political thought lack adequate grounding in objective reality.
7) Many of the arguments for a high level of immigration are circular arguments. They assume what they supposedly prove. An example would be saying that immigrants don’t take jobs because they boost the economy. Continuously boosting the economy is not a good thing in the long run. We have reached the end of the long run, now, in our time.
8) We need an end to economic growth. In order to make that possible we need an end to population growth.
It isn’t credible that an ongoing high level of immigration does not have negative consequences for the people already here, both citizen and immigrant whether legal or undocumented. These negative consequences fall on the labor market, the price and availability of basic commodities, such as housing and water, and on the biosphere.
People have lost jobs because of immigration, both low-skilled and high skilled workers, although proving that large numbers of Americans failed to find work in their preferred occupation in any given time period because a potential employer had already hired an undocumented worker or were planning to is very difficult. The advocates for and defenders of our growth civilization, with its political, cultural and institutional commitment to ongoing population growth and economic growth, have control of the processes of alleged data collection and distribution and interpretation of the alleged data, which is seen through the powerful filter of the basic assumptions of the established economic and political order.
Logically, if there are large numbers of undocumented workers coming into our country and finding work, they have to be taking the jobs of some American citizens or legal residents who might have otherwise had the job, if not for the undocumented workers. The defenders of the practice of allowing large numbers of undocumented immigrants to come to the United States and not making any effort at enforcement of our laws against it would probably not be so brazen as to suggest that any particular job was created for undocumented workers. However, in some industries something like this may be the case. Some employers, such as in agriculture, may know that they can get away with hiring undocumented workers so they plan on giving them low pay and expecting them to work physically very hard, with few rules or regulations if any imposed by government to protect them. According to a report by the American Immigration Council, the agriculture and construction industries in 2024 each relied on undocumented workers for about 13% of their workers. If this report is accurate then perhaps some occupations are not nearly as unwanted by American citizens as they are made out to be by some American businessmen. The report says that 12.7% of workers in agriculture were undocumented. This was 244, 700 workers. The number of undocumented workers in the construction industry was 1,544,600, Make no mistake, construction is not an unwanted occupation for American citizens. (See Where Undocumented Immigrants work By Katharina Buchholz Statista.com at: https://www.statista.com/chart/34074/us-industries-highest-share-of-the-workforce-undocumented-immigration/)
In the case of highly skilled workers such as those in advanced technology companies the American citizens, who in many cases have had to train their replacements who were holders of the H-1B visa, unlike the low-skilled workers can actually see the person replacing them. However, there is little the workers being replaced can do. Both traditional print-based and electronic news organizations do little to challenge the claims of technology companies that they cannot find American citizens to do the jobs that they say they have to hire citizens from other countries to fill.
In addition to providing stiff competition for jobs in many categories immigration increases demand for all of the things that American citizens need and want. This includes housing and water. A large volume of immigration into our country also affects our ability to control and disperse pollution of various forms generated by the activities of a steadily growing number of people. It makes reducing our contribution to climate change even more difficult.
The most critically important impact of a high level of immigration into the US is on the finite supply of wild lands and undeveloped natural areas, and in general, on the rest of the biosphere that exists within our borders. There is also the impact of our growing numbers including from immigration on the biosphere as a whole that is inevitably impacted by our large volume of trade with the rest of the world that is steadily growing. And this large volume of trade, to be clear, is growing in part because of this ongoing large volume of both legal and undocumented immigration into the United States.
Population growth, including from immigration, will put pressure on the biosphere in the United States and the world, that will eventually overwhelm all efforts at conservation and rewilding.
9) We need to put the issue of immigration into the United States within the framework of population growth as the number one underlying cause of our environmental problems..
We need significant, dramatic reductions in the total number of immigrants as soon as it becomes politically possible. This should be done through legislation passed by the Congress based on informed debate in our society at large and not on executive orders.
10) We need an end to economic growth and a gradual shrinkage of the economy in terms of energy and material demands on the biosphere in tandem with an end to population growth and a transition to a gradual decline of population.
11) We need to develop a national population policy that will recognize the need to bring population growth to an end through voluntary means at least as far as natural increase is concerned. This national population policy should also promote a gradual decline of population size.
12) Limitations on immigration should not involve mass deportations. Most categories of legal immigration will have to end, but we should allow strictly political asylum seekers to continue to come. But even here, we cannot take an unlimited number.
The question of how we should enforce our laws against undocumented immigration is distorted by extreme opinions on opposite ends of the spectrum of political thought. On the one hand some people think that the United States government has no right to try to control the amount of immigration into our country. Some people think that any agency, such as Immigration Control and Enforcement, visiting a place of employment to enforce laws against undocumented employment, is doing so solely on the basis of racism.
This is a tragically flawed view. The idea that undocumented workers don’t really hurt anything by being here simply isn’t true. They inevitably undermine the possibility of a fair labor market for citizen workers even in the case of categories of work that most workers don’t want, such as in agriculture. And most importantly, their presence inevitably puts additional pressure on that part of the biosphere within the borders of the United States and on the biosphere as a whole that otherwise wouldn’t be there. This is because of our population growth and economic growth and our trade with the rest of the world and our highly resource intensive and energy intensive way of life.
The large volume of different categories of legal immigration also undermine the possibility of a fair labor market for citizen workers and put even more pressure on the biosphere because these workers are paid better and have more income. This category of immigration does even more to undermine American democracy.
The other extreme of opinion about how to enforce our laws against undocumented immigration is exemplified by President Trump who is attempting to solve the problem through executive action and military force. We should not be deporting undocumented immigrants to third countries and they have a right to due process. However, this right to due process should not be stretched to an argument that immigrants have a right to come regardless of the facts. It is not enough to say that we should only deport those who have committed crimes. We have a responsibility to the rest of humanity and to all the rest of life on the planet to limit immigration into our country. This logically entails a responsibility to dramatically reduce the level of immigration into our country. We will have to do some deportations.
The first thing we need to do is to put our country’s discussion and debate over immigration firmly within the framework of the problems of population growth and economic growth. This doesn’t mean washing our hands of the millions of people who would like to come to our country to live if they could or who feel desperate either for their lives or for political reasons or because of the hardship of their lives. We need to approach the search for solutions to the problems of population growth and economic growth with a sense of the unity of humanity and the unity of life. To do this we will have to change the political and economic structure of our country in profound ways. We will have to update our understanding of what it means to have a representative democracy and a good society. We will have to base this understanding on the enormous expansion of human knowledge including the sciences that has taken place since the founding of the United States.
Ideally we should try to shift more of the responsibility for the enforcement of our laws against undocumented immigration from the immigrant worker to the employer. It isn’t completely clear how to do this. Some people seem to think that our current system of electronic verification of legal status for employment is reliable. Others do not. Most employers do not use it. We should make the effort to make it more reliable, even if it involves significant time and expense. And regardless of how reliable it may be, we should require all employers to use it. If it can be proven that an employer knew that a worker was without legal status that employer should be subject to stiff fines or civil sanctions.
When large employers such as technology companies tell us that they have to have legal immigrants to fill certain jobs, we should tell them no. We should require them to train American citizen workers for those jobs or their company does not need to exist. We need to understand that the protection of the biosphere within the borders of the United States and across the face of the planet has to be prioritized over economic concerns. It is the biosphere, with its shrinking remaining biodiversity, that is in extreme danger. Not the US or world economy.
Family migration should be gradually reduced.. And we need to tighten our procedures for screening asylum seekers so that we are only taking strictly political asylum seekers. Even here we cannot take an unlimited number.
10b) Ending economic growth may be even more difficult than ending human population growth. Herman E. Daly, the principal founder of the school of economics called Ecological Economics offered a very credible and important suggestion on how we could go about doing this. He suggested that we take away from commercial banks the power of partial seigniorage or their ability to participate with our country’s central bank, the Federal Reserve, in the creation and expansion of the money supply. They have this power of partial seigniorage because they are allowed to make loans and charge interest on these loans under a system where they only have to keep a very small percentage of the total amount that they have out in loans as reserves backing up the loans. This is called a fractional reserve system.
Under Daly’s proposed reform the commercial banks would be required to hold 100% of the amount that they have out in loans as reserves. They would still make loans and they would still charge interest on their loans but it would be on the basis of other people’s money and not the money they create by making loans on the basis of fractional reserve deposits. They would also charge fees for checking or facilitating electronic payments.
There are various objections that might be offered to this idea of taking away from the commercial banks the power of partial seigniorage, some of them political and some logical and political. Some people might say it would be a form of communism, or the government would have too much power. How would it actually work in the real world? The banks would be dependent on some people being able to afford to save and make deposits. However, it would be an important starting point in trying to figure out how to end economic growth. And let us be clear: the economies of the US and the world not only need to stop growing. They need to shrink or gradually be reduced in size.
We need to thoroughly understand the capitalistic process, and figure out how to gradually cut it back and contain it within the boundaries of the state.
There are some people who think that we can pursue a policy of “degrowth” of the economy without paying attention to the need to stop population growth. This is a delusional system of belief.
Others think that capitalism is the problem and that it requires economic growth. It is assumed that switching to socialism is the answer. This is also a delusion. Almost all of the socialists have also failed to recognize that population growth has to stop.
Being able to seriously consider ending seigniorage for commercial banks will require a completely different intellectual, cultural and political climate of opinion than we have now.
In addition to considering how to end seigniorage for commercial banks we need to look at the international empire of business corporations and other large businesses and consider how to end or establish more limits on their control of the world economy and their indirect influence and even to a significant degree their control of the US government. Right now this empire of corporations and big businesses is turning the whole planet into one big commodity to be turned into products as each of these individual businesses tries to grow more and more and get bigger and bigger. Federal chartering of the largest business corporations and licensing of the biggest non-corporate firms would be one possible path to doing this. “
We are going to need a fundamentally different kind of civilization, dedicated to the intellectual and moral growth of its citizens and a healthy relationship between humanity and the rest of the biosphere.
The processes of ending economic growth and population growth will have to take place in parallel. As soon as possible we will need to make a transition to a gradual decline of population and a gradual shrinkage of the US economy.
Daly and the Ecological Economists have had other important ideas including the idea of limiting the amount of income inequality that would be allowed. Daly had the idea of limiting the amount of income going to those receiving the highest amount of income to no more than ten times the amount received by those receiving the lowest amount of income. This would be in contrast to our current situation where the amount of income going to those receiving the highest amount of income is hundreds of times the amount going to those receiving the lowest amount of income. ( See Ecological Economics Principals and Applications by Herman E. Daly and “Money and the Steady State Economy Center for the Advancement of a Steady State Economy at https://steadystate.org/money-and-the-steady-state-economy .)
13) We need women’s rights to reproductive choice and women’s rights to equality recognized in law and the constitution.
We also need the same protections for LGBTQ people.
However, we need to realize that there can be no lasting achievements for women’s rights or women’s empowerment or LGBTQ rights within the framework of a society that cannot and will not last, and this one will not.
14) For the most part, the new party should support many of the programs that resulted from previous periods of reform that were interventionist in character with respect to the so-called free economy that helped to provide greater security and healthcare for almost everyone such as Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid.
15) The new party might also support a basic guaranteed income and lifelong publicly funded education at the college level.
This education should include required courses in environmental and population related education.
These two programs could support an end to economic growth, especially economic growth focused on the pursuit of more and more things.
16) The new party should also seek to combat the false religion of technology that assumes that technology will always solve the problems caused by ongoing population growth and economic growth.
17) The new political party should also do a much better job than the so-called Democratic Party explaining the absolutely dire nature of our current situation in the United States and for humanity and the biosphere with a second term for Donald Trump. The immunity decision saying that he could not be held to account for crimes committed while he was President was an extremely grave malfunctioning of the Supreme Court. This man backed an insurrection against the freely chosen government of the people of the United States. This decision was like a dagger plunged into the living heart of the Constitution itself.
In addition, Trump’s view of reality, including his view that climate change is a hoax, and his unconstitutional executive actions are an ongoing attack on our fundamental natural rights to life,
liberty and the pursuit of happiness for which we fought the revolution.
18) In addition to trying to get the new party on the ballot before the primaries for the mid-terms in as many states as possible we need to find ways to fight the continued buildup of greenhouse gases in the
atmosphere bringing about climate change. We need to promote the idea that Earth cannot wait for the
mid-terms although we need to do as much as possible as soon as possible within our inherited government from the eighteenth century.
We need to also make it understood that we cannot rely on the two existing major political parties to do what we will have to do ourselves.
19) The new political party should lead the way in examining how reality is defined for all of us, including how the uses of the spectrum of electromagnetic energy have been regulated in the United States over the past one hundred years. I am thinking here primarily of how electromagnetic energy and electronics have been used by commercial interests for mass communications. This includes radio, television and the internet. The use of electricity for power production is a separate issue, but that too should be regulated.
I am also thinking of how extensive economic inequality has allowed the super-rich, the well-to-do, and very large businesses to profoundly shape the range of choices about our society that we all pay attention to and that almost everyone is at least potentially exposed to and how we conceive of those choices.
20) The new political party should also develop a much more comprehensive plan for slowing down and bringing any further climate change to an end than anything the Democratic or Republican parties have had to offer. And the Republican Party currently denies the reality of the problem. This comprehensive plan should be about more than simply changing the source of the energy we use from fossil fuels to other sources. It would be based on a comprehensive view of all of the uses of energy that we engage in and minimizing our total energy use from any source and thus the impact of our energy use on the rest of the biosphere.
21) We need to make clear that any candidates for office in the United States who deny the reality of the problem of climate change caused by the widespread use of fossil fuels or who fail to recognize population growth and economic growth as the fundamental underlying causes of our environmental problems are attacking the very ability of the American people and all of humanity and much of the rest of life on earth to survive and have any kind of a future at all. Such candidates and such office holders with such views should be considered as unqualified and should not be allowed to run for office. The new party will have to promote and get established a new constitution to make this possible. This will require a lot of education of the American people. This will be a more truly representative democracy than what we have now.
Please read this blog post through from beginning to end if you have not already done so. Pay attention to exactly what I have said. And think about what I say here if I have challenged any unexamined assumptions about immigration or how to protect the environment that you may have. Read as many of the other posts on this blog as you can find time to read. I know they are long. Read a little at a time. Also watch the videos I have put up on YouTube. Look up some of the sources I have listed in the post called “Select Bibliography” and read them.
Please make a comment and tell me what you think, even if you don’t have much to say. You can tell me if you agree with me at least in part. If you don’t tell me why you think so. Or ask a question. Please do not attack me or anyone else personally.
Different people will be willing to engage in different degrees and kinds of risks to help solve these problems. This is what you are fighting for: any kind of decent future for everyone now alive; the future of all the generations of human children that there will ever be; the future of the biosphere made up of all the species and ecosystems that took 3.7 billion years to evolve.
For some the risks they may be willing to take may be to read this blog and maybe tell others about it. For others they may be willing to donate money to help me with my own personal survival needs and to effectively promote this blog and the idea of a new political party that will fight for the whole biosphere and to found a new civilization that will be able to live in harmony with it.
A link to a fundraising platform is below. Donations of $25 or $50 or even $5 or $10 would be very helpful.
For some, a courageous minority perhaps, taking risks for life on Earth may mean being willing to risk everything, including their lives. Make no mistake, fighting for the ability of the American people to see the truth about our planet and why it is in trouble requires tremendous courage. Far too many Americans in positions of power and comfort and privilege don’t want that to happen. They are either actually afraid of the truth, or they have their egos and much more invested in a false or incomplete picture of reality.
If there is anything or anybody in this world that you love and care about, please help me help you help all of us to secure the future for all of us.
Please donate if you can through the two method described below.
The link to donate through gofundme.com is the following:
https://www.gofundme.com/promote-a-political-party-for-the-planet.
Copyright 2025 by Richard E. Garner, Jr All rights reserved